Monday, September 3, 2012

Why You Might Want to Stop Paying Your Mortgage

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Every day we're hearing a few more details about the Government's 0 billion saving holder for the banks.  Last week, instead of buying up the toxic debt held by banks, Treasury Secretary Paulson did an about-face.  He rounded up the heads of our largest banks in America and forced them to take a Government capital infusion.

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Do you know why he changed his view?

Paulson's terrified of the flow of capital seizing up.  As more and more concern about the cheaper reaches the markets, investors become wary of lending.  Right now, banks are terrified of lending to each other. All you need to do is look at Libor rates to see this.  The higher the Libor rate, the more fear of lending there is.``

Banks are afraid to lend to each other.  That means it won't be long before banks are afraid to lend to you and me, and the rest of "Main Street."  Ask any economist, if lending stops our whole cheaper will grind to a halt.

By putting more capital into banks it makes them more reputation worthy. This will free up bank lending and the flow of capital.  But there's an additional one problem.

The real estate urgency is still running strong . . . And this holder does small to help.Right now, more Americans than ever are underwater on their homes. That means they owe the banks more than their houses are worth.  It's estimated 1 in every 6 homeowners over the nation is underwater.

It's rare to find a part of America where the value of a home hasn't dropped.  As a matter of fact, some parts of the country like Florida, California, and Arizona have seen asset values fall as much as 50%. (This was where aggressive real estate speculation was the worst.)  The last time a real estate urgency of this magnitude hit, homeowners just sent their keys to the bank.

It was called "Jingle Mail."

Everyday Americans just stopped production their mortgage payments.  The mental was simple.  Why pay for a house when the value is substantially lower?  Compounding this qoute is the softening economy. Layoffs are starting to take hold and the unemployment rate hit new highs.

It's finding bad.

Just today Federal support Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress we need further economic stimulus.  So, if you're under water on your house should you stop paying your mortgage?  Should you send your keys to the bank, or hope the government comes to your rescue?

To sass this ask I spoke with a friend of mine who owns a handful of speculation properties in Arizona.  He has something shocking to say.

"Stop paying your mortgage!"

His mental was simple.  The more citizen who stop paying their mortgage, the bigger the furnish of bank owned homes.  This causes the price of real estate to fall even further.  That lets this savvy investor swoop in and buy more homes on the cheap.

That's right, he's finding to buy homes citizen leave to the bank.

For him, now's a exquisite time to invest.  He can pick up homes for approximately nothing.  And his competition's very limited.  That makes his negotiations even easier.  He's going into the banks and offering them 50 and 60 cents on the dollar for prime real estate.  These are levels where any rental earnings will more than cover the cost of his mortgage.

Of course he's happy for citizen to quit on their homes.  It makes it easier for him to make money.

What does this investor know that others don't?

He knows the real estate urgency won't last forever.  In two or three years, things will return to normal.  And a few years later, real estate prices will start going up again.

All those citizen who quit on their homes while the last crisis, would have been "Ok" just a few years later.  All those who quit on their homes now will be missing out on time to come growth opportunities.  Never mind the damage caused by bad reputation and the moral issues of going back on a promise.

Instead of quitting on your home mortgage, now might be the time to buy an additional one home as an speculation property.  I know today I'm going to start looking.

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